Expert Picks for June 18 MLB Home Run Bets: Soto and Vargas Shine

Expert Picks for June 18 MLB Home Run Bets: Soto and Vargas Shine

On Thursday, June 18, the MLB schedule features nine games, with evening matchups offering prime opportunities for home run prop bets. SportsLine expert Adam Thompson, known for his analytics-driven approach, has identified his top picks for players expected to hit home runs. Juan Soto of the New York Mets is a standout option. Currently, Soto is hitting an impressive .480 over the last week, including two home runs and a strong performance of 3-for-5 with four RBIs against the Reds on Wednesday. Facing Aaron Nola of the Philadelphia Phillies, who has struggled with home runs lately, Soto’s chances are bolstered by winds blowing out to right field at Citizens Bank Park. Although Soto has three home runs in 40 career at-bats against Nola, he boasts a solid .946 OPS, making him a strong candidate to go yard. Juan Soto, Mets (+253) Miguel Vargas from the Chicago White Sox is another player to watch, with odds of +255. Vargas faces Ryan Weathers, who has allowed a staggering seven home runs in his last three starts. While Vargas has struggled recently, hitting only one home run since June 1, he has a track record of performing well against left-handed pitchers, having hit seven of his sixteen home runs against them. The forecasted winds blowing out to left field at 15-20 mph further enhance his prospects. Miguel Vargas, White Sox (+255) With Thompson’s expertise and the favorable conditions, both Soto and Vargas present promising betting opportunities for home run enthusiasts.

Source: CBS Sports - 2026-06-18